November 4, 2013
2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA PINK SALMON HARVEST FORECAST
The Southeast Alaska pink salmon harvest in 2014 is predicted to be in the average range, with a point estimate of 22 million fish (80% confidence interval: 8–36 million fish). An actual harvest of 22 million pink salmon would be well below the recent 10-year average of 41 million pink salmon, but is close to the average harvest over the past five even years. The 2014 forecast was produced in two steps: 1) a forecast
of the trend in harvest, and 2) the forecast trend adjusted using 2013 juvenile pink salmon abundance data provided by the NOAA Fisheries, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, Auke Bay Laboratories.
Department staff will be available to discuss this forecast and plan for the 2014 season at the SE Alaska Purse Seine Task Force Meeting scheduled for December 3, 2013, in Ketchikan. In addition, staff from the NOAA Auke Bay Laboratories plan to attend this meeting and present their 2014 pink salmon harvest forecast for Southeast Alaska.
Contact: Ketchikan Area Office
Andy Piston 2030 Sea Level Drive, Suite 205
Ketchikan, Alaska 99901
Phone: (907) 225-9677 Date: November 4, 2013
Fax: (907) 225-0599 Time: 9:45 a.m